Monday, July 29, 2013

July Recap

July was our first month back with HWD and it was a success.  We had the best winning percentage among pros with at least 1-2 plays per day in the month of July.  The only thing I dislike about being documented at HWD is how other cappers rate their picks.  It's unrealistic to rate every pick you recommend at a 5 or better.  This creates big swings for your client rather than a steady approach to your goals which is what we strive for.  All you have to do is look at the bottom of the rankings each month and it will show the all or nothing capping that some of the site members engage in.  Don't get me wrong, the accolades are nice, however, I'm not going to change my approach to be the top "unit" company at the expense of my consistent approach.  Hopefully, over the long term this will be obvious.  Thanks again, and let's keep it moving through the end of July.

Tuesday, January 15, 2013

When Right Is Wrong!

I took pride this past weekend in one particular play that I chose.  I liked Baltimore over Denver +10.5.  However, I am humble and can admit that I won the play despite my assumptions as to how the game would actually play out.  It's been very clear to me in watching Payton Manning this season that he is mentally as sharp as he has always been.  However, physically there have been plays that he just can't make at this stage in his career given his injuries and age.  In particular his inability to throw the deep ball.  I thought that the Raven defense would let him dink and dunk but not allow him to control the game.  If you remove the 2 kick returns for touchdowns and this was a pretty dominating performance by the Ravens.  I also thought the weather would hold back the Broncos. I even went as far as to research the effect on the body at temperatures in the single digits.  All of this being said..you might think I would have liked the under on this one as well.  I don't like unders in playoff games when teams lay it all on the line and play in a manner in which they would not throughout the regular season.  My point to this article is the following.  The manner in which the game is played out is much different from what I assumed and researched.....However, the outcome and subsequent profit on the play was exactly what I thought....and that's all that matters in the end.